How FiveThirtyEight's 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did — forecast_results_2018 • fivethirtyeight

The raw data behind the story 'How FiveThirtyEight's 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did' https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-2018-midterm-forecasts-did/

forecast_results_2018

Format

A dataframe with 1518 rows representing forecast results (as of December 3, 2018) and 11 variables:

cycle: cycle of the election
branch: branch of the election
race: election forecast for the gubernatorial race
forecastdate: the date of the forecast
version: version of the election forecast
dem_win_prob: the probability of winning for the Democrat
rep_win_prob: the probability of winning for the Republican
category: the predicted political affiliation of the forecast
democrat_won: whether the Democrat won
republican_won: whether the Republican won
uncalled: if a race was uncalled

Source

FiveThirtyEight's 2018 House Forecast https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/