Senate Forecast 2018

This file contains links to the data behind FiveThirtyEight's 'Senate forecasts' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/

senate_seat_forecast

Format

A dataframe with 28353 rows representing seat-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe Senate forecasts since Aug. 1, 2018 and 12 variables

forecastdate

date of the forecast

state

state of the forecast

class

class of the forecast

special

unknown

candidate

name of the candidate

party

party of the candidate

incumbent

whether the candidate is incumbent

model

the model of the forecast

win_probability

the probability of the corresponding party winning

voteshare

the voteshare of the corresponding party

p10_voteshare

the top 10 percentile of the voteshare

p90_voteshare

the top 00 percentile of the voteshare

Source

FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/

See also

senate_national_forecast